Priced on Adjusted, Judged on Reported
FY2025 full year · ConvaTec reports in US dollars but its shares trade in pence. Earnings per share of 8.60 cents (US$0.086) is the reported diluted figure for 2025; the share price, the valuation and the market capitalisation below are all in sterling.
Briefing
- Thesis: A steady, well-spread chronic care business that keeps growing — but I can't see a basis for sales increasing too much into the future, and on the reported earnings the company actually books, the share price is a long way ahead of what I'd pay.
- The numbers: Revenue of roughly $2.4bn in 2025, up 6.6%. Reported diluted earnings per share of 8.60 cents against adjusted earnings per share of 17.6 cents. A 6.5% growth rate and an 8x multiple give me 104.58p against a 229.60p share price — a -54.5% value opportunity.
- Key strength: Four divisions, all of them growing, and no year of falling revenue as far back as 2020. I like how spread out the revenue is — it gives the company some level of risk aversion.
- Key risk: Net borrowing is increasing at quite a rapid rate — $1,450m including leases on $2.4bn of sales, which is high. Too high.
- Overall stance: Sell. Research grade D, probability 50%. I don't think this is worth really investigating any further.
Business Model
ConvaTec is a chronic care medical products manufacturer, originally spun out of Bristol-Myers Squibb, with a market capitalisation of £4.5bn. Its products serve people managing long-term conditions, sold through hospital and clinic channels as well as directly into the home.
Four core divisions drive revenue:
- Advanced Wound Care makes dressings for chronic and hard-to-heal wounds, led by the Aquacel and ConvaFoam brands.
- Ostomy Care makes pouches and accessories for people with a stoma — a surgically created opening that diverts waste from the bowel or bladder into an external pouch — led by Esteem Body.
- Continence Care is mostly intermittent catheters (thin tubes used several times a day to drain the bladder) and related home services, led by the GentleCath brands.
- Infusion Care makes infusion sets for insulin pumps and, increasingly, for other therapies — its fastest growth in 2025 was in AbbVie's Parkinson's therapy.
- Spread: comparing revenue from 2021 to 2025, all four divisions have seen increases.
Revenue by Division
Revenue by division ($m)
| Division | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Average growth, last 3 years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Wound Care | 592 | 621 | 695 | 743 | 753 | 6.6% |
| Ostomy Care | 615 | 583 | 608 | 634 | 676 | 5.1% |
| Continence Care | 405 | 426 | 457 | 501 | 537 | 8.0% |
| Infusion Care | 316 | 341 | 371 | 411 | 473 | 11.5% |
Divisional revenue, 2021–2025 ($m)
Source: ConvaTec divisional revenue as stated in my note. All four lines rise across the period.
Turnover has been rising at an okay clip in recent years. 2023 only saw sales increases of 3.4%, followed by 6.8% in 2024 and 6.6% in 2025 — not staggeringly quick rises in revenue, but okay levels. All-importantly, as far back as 2020 the company has never seen a year of decreasing revenue.
Adjusted profits have risen pretty much every year, with adjusted earnings per share — that is, profit attributable to each share after the company strips out items it treats as one-off or non-operating — going from 12.0 cents in 2020 to 17.6 cents in 2025. Reported profits dipped in 2022, and again in 2025 when a $72m impairment was taken against the InnovaMatrix product.
Each division in depth
Advanced Wound Care grew 1.4% to $753m in 2025. The core dressings business grew 4.1% organically excluding InnovaMatrix, with ConvaFoam taking share in the United States and Europe. InnovaMatrix, the skin substitute product, fell -30% to $69m after changes to United States reimbursement for skin substitutes, and the company expects only around $20m from it in 2026.
Ostomy Care grew 6.6% to $676m, with the Esteem Body soft convex product ahead of the company's expectations and accessories around 20% of division sales. Continence Care grew 7.1% to $537m on United States volume share gains, supported by its home services operation; the company is monitoring a proposed United States competitive bidding programme for catheters.
Infusion Care grew 15.1% to $473m on strong demand for infusion sets in both diabetes and non-diabetes therapies. Non-diabetes uses such as AbbVie's Parkinson's therapy are now around 15% of the division and growing quickly, and the company is investing in significant new capacity by 2028 — capital expenditure, or capex, meaning spending on plant and equipment rather than day-to-day running costs — partly backed by long-term contracts.
2025 revenue growth by division (%)
Source: ConvaTec FY2025 divisional growth rates as stated in my note. The gold bar is the underlying number: Advanced Wound Care's core dressings business grew 4.1% organically once InnovaMatrix is excluded, against the 1.4% headline.
I like how spread out the company's revenue is by division. It leads to a nice distribution of revenue, giving it some level of risk aversion — and none of these areas seem like ones that would fall apart anytime soon.
2025 revenue mix by division
Source: ConvaTec FY2025 divisional revenue as stated in my note. No single division dominates.
What Matters for This Company
At group level, adjusted operating profit was $544m in 2025 at a 22.3% margin (2024: 21.2%). Margins for the company are okay — a 56.2% gross margin in 2025, and that figure has been edging up (56.0% in 2023, 56.1% in 2024).
Over the last three years the company has concentrated its shares in issue by around 4.5%, helped by a $300m share buyback completed in 2025. That will marginally improve the earnings per share figure.
Adjusted versus reported earnings
Interestingly, the adjusted earnings per share figures are substantially higher than the reported ones. At the net profit level for the last three years:
Reported to adjusted net profit bridge ($m)
| $m | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reported net profit | 130 | 191 | 175 |
| Amortisation of acquired intangibles | 104 | 103 | 102 |
| Acquisitions and divestitures | 30 | 5 | 13 |
| Impairment of assets | – | – | 55 |
| Termination benefits and related costs | 8 | 5 | 4 |
| Other adjusting items | 10 | 12 | 9 |
| Other discrete tax items | -8 | -3 | – |
| Adjusted net profit | 274 | 312 | 358 |
| Adjusted diluted EPS (cents) | 13.4 | 15.2 | 17.6 |
| Reported diluted EPS (cents) | 6.3 | 9.3 | 8.6 |
2025: from reported net profit to adjusted net profit ($m)
Source: ConvaTec FY2025 adjusting items as stated in my note. Every gold bar is a cost added back to get from the $175m the company reported to the $358m it prefers to talk about.
Most of the gap is amortisation of acquired intangibles, running at just over $100m post-tax every year, which stems from the brands and technology sitting on the balance sheet from past acquisitions and the Bristol-Myers Squibb carve-out. On top of that there's a recurring layer of smaller items each year — restructuring and termination costs, acquisition-related charges and other one-off charges — and 2025 added a $72m pre-tax ($55m post-tax) impairment of the InnovaMatrix intangible following the United States reimbursement changes. 2023's acquisition-related charge was mostly a fair value movement on contingent consideration.
Net borrowing
Concerningly, net borrowing is increasing at quite a rapid rate. It now hits $1,450m including lease liabilities ($1,330m excluding leases, up $272m in the year), which for a company only achieving $2.4bn of sales is high — too high.
The rise was driven by the $300m buyback alongside dividends and acquisition earnout payments, and net borrowing excluding leases stands at around 2.0 times the company's adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation of $661m.
Valuation
I don't think we'll research any further into the company, because I can't really see a basis for why sales might increase too much into the future. I'm going to give it a 6.5% growth rate using the reported earnings per share figure.
I'm using the reported figure, not the adjusted one, because they have a constant amortisation of acquired intangibles that runs through the company each year. In fairness the impairment of $55m of assets in 2025 is more of a one off, but I am keeping it in (since we are not researching further).
The company doesn't offer a particularly good yield at 2.3% either. I'm giving it a risk factor of 15% because of the products it sells. On this basis I come up with a valuation of 104.58p per share, which is a -54.5% value opportunity. I don't think this is worth really investigating any further.
VALUATION SNAPSHOT
| Metric | Figure |
|---|---|
| Current share price | 229.60p |
| Shares in issue | 1,950.97m |
| Market capitalisation | £4,479.4m (229.60p × 1,950.97m) |
| Earnings per share | 8.60 US cents (US$0.086) — reported diluted, FY2025 |
| Price-to-earnings ratio (trailing) | 26.7x (229.60 ÷ 8.60, recomputed) |
| Growth rate | 6.50% |
| Valuation multiple | 8.00x |
| Assets per share | Not populated — earnings mode |
| Dividend yield | 2.30% |
| Valuation uplift / reduction | 0.00% |
| Formula valuation | 104.58p |
| Actual valuation | 104.58p |
| Valued market capitalisation | £2,040.2m |
| Value opportunity | -54.5% |
| Risk factor | 15% |
| Research grade | D |
| Probability | 50% |
| Proposed action | Sell |
ConvaTec Group PLC (CTEC) — share price (last 12 months)
Source: Indicative 12-month path, ending at the 229.60p current share price used in my model — my note contains no price history, so the shape of the line is illustrative only. Red dashed line shows my 104.58p valuation.
Risks and What Could Go Wrong (for the Sell case)
The honest bull case against my own verdict, stated firmly:
- The choice of earnings figure is the whole argument: adjusted diluted earnings per share of 17.6 cents is more than double the 8.60 cents reported figure I've used. Anyone who accepts the company's view that amortisation of acquired intangibles is non-cash noise would run this valuation on a very different base and reach a very different answer.
- The impairment is genuinely one-off: I've said so myself — the $55m post-tax InnovaMatrix write-down flatters my case by depressing 2025 reported earnings. I kept it in because we're not researching further, not because I think it repeats.
- The InnovaMatrix drag mostly annualises out: the product fell -30% to $69m and the company expects around $20m in 2026. Once that's through the numbers, Advanced Wound Care's headline growth should look more like the 4.1% its core dressings business is already achieving.
- Nothing here is shrinking: no year of decreasing revenue since 2020, all four divisions up over 2021–2025, and Infusion Care compounding at 11.5% a year with non-diabetes therapies now around 15% of the division and new capacity coming by 2028 backed by long-term contracts.
- Margins are moving the right way: adjusted operating margin of 22.3% against 21.2%, and a gross margin edging up from 56.0% to 56.2% over three years.
- The 6.5% growth rate could prove mean: if the business grows faster than the 6–7% range of the last three years, an 8x multiple on reported earnings will look like the wrong frame entirely.
What Would Change My Mind
- Amortisation rolling off: if the acquired intangibles finish amortising and reported earnings per share converges towards the adjusted figure, the base I'm valuing on changes fundamentally.
- Net borrowing coming down: a clear reversal from $1,450m including leases and 2.0 times adjusted EBITDA, with cash going into the business rather than into buybacks funded by debt.
- Evidence sales can accelerate: a step-change out of Infusion Care's new capacity, or non-diabetes therapies scaling well past 15% of that division, would give me the basis for future sales increases that I currently can't see.
- United States reimbursement settling: InnovaMatrix stabilising, and the proposed competitive bidding programme for catheters resolving without damage to Continence Care.
- A materially lower price: the gap to 104.58p is wide. Price does the work here as readily as earnings do.
Bottom Line — Sell
ConvaTec is a decent business. Four divisions, all growing, a nice distribution of revenue, no year of falling sales since 2020, and margins edging up. None of these areas seem like ones that would fall apart anytime soon.
But I value it on the earnings it reports, not the earnings it adjusts to, because the amortisation of acquired intangibles runs through this company every single year. On 8.60 cents, a 6.5% growth rate and an 8x multiple, I get 104.58p against a 229.60p share price. Add net borrowing of $1,450m on $2.4bn of sales and a 2.3% yield, and I can't see a basis for why sales might increase too much into the future.
I don't think this is worth really investigating any further.
Sell. Value opportunity: -54.5%. Probability: 50%. Research grade: D.
Sources & Method
- ConvaTec Group PLC FY2025 full-year results: divisional revenue 2021–2025, divisional growth rates, adjusted operating profit and margin, gross margin, reported and adjusted diluted earnings per share, and the reported-to-adjusted net profit bridge.
- ConvaTec disclosure on net borrowing ($1,450m including leases; $1,330m excluding), adjusted EBITDA of $661m, and the $300m share buyback completed in 2025.
- Company commentary on InnovaMatrix and United States skin substitute reimbursement, the proposed United States competitive bidding programme for catheters, and Infusion Care capacity investment to 2028.
- MAEP valuation model, 26/08 — shares in issue, current share price, growth rate, valuation multiple, dividend percentage, uplift/reduction, risk factor, research grade, probability and proposed action.
- Reconciliation note: the model's "PE 17.6" field is the FY2025 adjusted earnings per share in cents, not a price-to-earnings ratio. Trailing P/E has been recomputed from the current price and the earnings per share actually used in the valuation: 229.60 ÷ 8.60 = 26.7x.
- Reconciliation note: ConvaTec reports in US dollars, so earnings per share of 8.60 is in cents (US$0.086), while the share price and valuation are in pence. The model runs the formula on 8.60 as entered, producing 104.58p; the model table wins on hard numbers, so the valuation and the -54.5% value opportunity stand as stated. A currency note has been added to the subtitle.
- Reconciliation note: market capitalisation is stated as £4,479.4m to tie to the current price (229.60p × 1,950.97m = £4,479.4m), matching the model field; the briefing's "£4.5bn" is the rounded version of the same figure.
- Reconciliation note: valued market capitalisation of 104.58p × 1,950.97m computes to £2,040.3m; the model's £2,040.2m is retained, a rounding difference only.
- Reconciliation note: value opportunity checks out — (104.58 ÷ 229.60) − 1 = -54.5%, matching the model field. Uplift/reduction is 0.00%, so formula valuation and actual valuation are identical.
- Reconciliation note: assets per share is not populated, so asset mode is not triggered; the growth rate and valuation multiple are applied normally rather than shown as ignored.
- Reconciliation note: the valuation uses reported diluted earnings per share (8.60 cents), not adjusted (17.6 cents), per the explicit instruction in the note. The divergence is explained in the Clarity callout above.
- Reconciliation note: the stated group revenue growth rates (3.4% in 2023, 6.8% in 2024, 6.6% in 2025) do not all reconcile to the divisional table, which sums to +8.1% in 2023 and +7.4% in 2024; 2025 ties at 6.6%. Both sets are reproduced as stated — the stated rates in his commentary, the divisional figures in the table and charts.
- Reconciliation note: the 2024 adjusting items sum to $313m against the $312m adjusted net profit stated; the table's $312m is retained as a rounding difference.
- Reconciliation note: the note carries the date stamp "260825". As it analyses FY2025 full-year results, the article is dated 26 August 2026 so the page is internally consistent with the reporting period it covers.
- Reconciliation note: no earnings override was applied — the 8.60 cents used is the FY2025 reported diluted figure as published, not a forecast.